Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 158.439481 187.833349 224.042824 272.966670 339.060617 428.006804 562.047294
2024-12-15 120.444513 153.722811 199.753925 271.425851 387.440105 584.095139 991.361001
2024-12-22 98.713643 130.820799 178.025720 257.622690 401.486313 686.799905 1449.070820
2024-12-29 89.198243 122.460848 174.311471 269.028916 461.666558 921.188708 2672.747051
2025-01-05 78.308822 109.806053 160.684837 258.449690 473.578600 1060.671835 4118.728428
2025-01-12 72.013073 103.216271 155.544758 261.765404 517.374647 1340.889401 8268.993168
2025-01-19 65.578318 95.438570 146.854706 255.451030 535.057804 1567.459547 16155.645692
2025-01-26 64.584878 96.512334 154.100383 284.821271 667.935919 2565.298523 239266.354599
2025-02-02 64.928457 99.871353 166.243957 330.091483 895.541963 5306.117060 NaN
2025-02-09 60.807101 94.650125 160.335640 328.466235 954.093860 7249.913116 NaN
2025-02-16 57.842392 91.224010 157.589928 334.610880 1055.158313 11430.772730 NaN
2025-02-23 55.584365 88.868941 156.736827 345.989731 1199.011349 21741.138244 NaN
2025-03-02 52.332510 84.801456 152.690515 350.768901 1347.477781 53613.530576 NaN
2025-03-09 49.088913 80.480579 147.581840 351.502169 1491.350056 205776.165509 NaN
2025-03-16 45.143832 74.320198 137.179414 331.050800 1458.580644 436098.624730 NaN
2025-03-23 43.556370 72.748460 137.401995 347.607720 1766.796096 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 40.634626 68.145865 129.557772 332.305613 1765.156348 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 38.913596 65.880451 127.192495 337.087821 1997.996623 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 36.782539 62.565199 121.723250 327.993704 2061.068815 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 36.793824 63.795416 128.133849 370.616578 3062.762650 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 37.314539 66.190187 138.212328 437.894686 5548.848172 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 35.736345 63.734622 134.339585 435.446960 6249.783719 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 34.581574 62.146818 132.749464 444.713674 7763.781529 NaN NaN